Uruguay vs Portugal World Cup 2018 Predictions & Betting Tips

Christiano Ronaldo Goal ScorerKey stats:

  • Uruguay have only conceded one goal in their previous eight matches
  • Diego Godin has won the most tackles (8), made the most clearances (12) and won the most aerial duals (8) in the whole World Cup
  • Surprisingly, this is only the fourth World Cup knockout stage Portugal have qualified for; the other knockout appearances for Portugal were in 1966, 2006 and 2010

The second round begins with a clash between the Group A winners and the Group B runners-up. Uruguay has not been particularly impressive so far but in spite of this, they qualified for the knockout stages with maximum points and without conceding a goal.

Portugal qualified in second place, undefeated with five points. Their final group match against Iran was a nervy affair, but the Euro 2016 winners prevailed to set-up this interesting last 16 match.

These are two very evenly matched teams and there is an abundance of talent in both sides. This one could go to extra time and even penalties. We think Uruguay will just edge it, but it looks set to be a tight affair.

There is not much among the different possible result outcomes in this match. At Unibet, the odds are 9/5 on Uruguay winning in 90 minutes. The odds for a Portugal victory in 90 minutes are 19/10 at Mobile bet.

The odds on the match ending level after 90 minutes are 39/20 at Bethard, offering the best value of the possible 90-minute result outcomes.

Both teams are conservative in their style of play and approach, and it is unlikely that this mentality will change in a World Cup knockout match. A low scoring draw after 90 minutes is a distinct possibility.

The following bets offer some great odds:

  • 5/1 at Comeon for Uruguay to win and both teams to score
  • 9/2 at 888 Sport for Cristiano Ronaldo to score during the second half
  • 35/4 Uruguay to win in extra time at Mansion
  • 20/1 at Unibet for Luis Suarez to score and provide an assist

 

Betting Tips For Uruguay Vs Portugal

Uruguay were many people’s dark horses to go far in the competition before the World Cup began. However, the South American’s performances so far haven’t exactly set the world alight.

They scraped to a 1-0 victory against Egypt in their opening game after an 89th minute winner, and a 1-0 win against Saudi Arabia wasn’t any more inspiring in their second match.

Their final game of the group pitted them against hosts Russia who were in great form, and Uruguay finally showed some of the undoubted class they are capable of. A resounding 3-0 victory brought Group A to a close in style for Uruguay.

Portugal’s performances so far haven’t been particularly impressive.

  1. They were second best in their opening match in the derby against Spain when only a last-minute Cristiano Ronaldo free kick rescued a point for the Euro 2016 winners in a highly entertaining 3-3 draw.
  2. They were competent in their second match against Morocco where they ran out 1-0 winners thanks to a Ronaldo header though again, this performance was rather disappointing.
  3. In Portugal’s last game, they played out a 1-1 draw against Iran and nearly ended up losing the game after Iran’s late flurry.

Uruguay v Portugal is a very tough match to call with both sides capable of beating the other. Portugal did not play brilliantly at the Euros two years ago, but ended up winning the competition. They are definitely capable of overcoming Uruguay.

Still, we favour Uruguay to go through, just. A low-scoring, fairly cagey game is to be expected here, and we wouldn’t be surprised if the match went to extra time or even penalties.

Diego Godin, Jose Gimenez and Sebastian Coates have been rocks at the back for Uruguay so far and if the Uruguayan defence can maintain this form, Portugal will struggle to break their lines. Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez will be a threat to any defence and Portugal’s has already conceded four goals this tournament.

We are not ruling out Portugal completely and if Euro 2016 taught us anything, it was to not count Portugal out. If Cristiano Ronaldo is on form, Portugal has a chance against anyone.

Head to Head Statistics

The teams have never faced each other in competitive competition, so this match will make history.

Uruguay’s Recent Form:

  • Uruguay 3-0 Russia
  • Uruguay 1-0 Saudi Arabia
  • Egypt 0-1 Uruguay
  • Uruguay 3-0 Uzbekistan
  • Wales 0-1 Uruguay

Portugal’s Recent Form:

  • Iran 1-1 Portugal
  • Portugal 1-0 Morocco
  • Portugal 3-3 Spain
  • Portugal 3-0 Algeria
  • Belgium 0-0 Portugal

Who Will Score For Portugal?

  • Cristiano Ronaldo’s goal against Morocco made him the top-scoring European international of all time

Cristiano Ronaldo was lucky to stay on the pitch after VAR picked up an elbow, albeit light one, by the Portugese in the Iran match into the face of Morteza Pourliganji. Ronaldo will have to be on his best behaviour after receiving a booking in the match.

Ricardo Quaresma is expected to start after his fantastic goal against Iran. Surprisingly, Pepe hasn’t been booked yet, though is definitely time for that to change.

We expect Fernando Santos to pick a similar team to the one selected for the Iran match.

Expected Portugal Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Rui Patricio
  • Defenders: Cedric Soares, Jose Fonte, Pepe, Raphael Guerreiro
  • Midfielders: Ricardo Quaresma, Bruno Fernandes, William Carvalho, Joao Moutinho
  • Forwards: Cristiano Ronaldo, Goncalo Guedes

Who Will Score For Uruguay?

  • Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez are the only two Uruguay players to score in three World Cups in 2010, 2014 and 2018

Uruguay’s team has been different for every match in the tournament and it remains to be seen who Oscar Tabarez will opt for against Portugal.

Experience is likely to be what Tabarez will have in mind when he selects his side. Uruguay defender Jose Gimenez picked up a thigh strain against Saudi Arabia and is in a race to be fit for the match.

Expected Uruguay Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Muslera
  • Defenders: Guillermo Valera, Diego Godin, Sebastian Coates, Martin Caceres
  • Midfielders: Rodrigo Bentancur, Vecino, Christian Rodriguez, Nahitan Nandez
  • Forwards: Edinson Cavani, Luis Suarez

Will There be Penalty or Red Cards?

This is likely to be a very passionate and tense contest between two sides hopeful of going far in the competition, and both teams have their fair share of hotheads. Luis Suarez, Pepe, Diego Godin, these are all players who are no strangers to the referee’s book. In a pressurised World Cup knockout match environment, a red card is always a possibility.

There have been more penalties awarded at this World Cup than any previous tournament, and this is before the knockout matches have even kicked off. VAR has taken centre stage in Russia with nine penalties awarded after VAR reviews.

A penalty might be the only way Portugal can get through Uruguay’s rugged defence. Portugal has already been awarded two penalties so far in the group stage, and the Iberians have also conceded one.