France vs Argentina

Lionel Messi Argentina Goalscorer

Key Facts:

  • France advanced by winning group C with seven points and +2 goal difference
  • Argentina advanced in second place from group D with four points and -2 goal difference
  • Both teams scored three goals in their groups
  • Six Argentinians and three French players have yellow cards before this match

France vs Argentina is the first eighth-final match we’re going to witness this year. It’s this Saturday, 30 June at 3 PM. Judging from what we’ve seen in the groups, France will beat the struggling South Americans.

Of course, we’ve already seen some unlikely scenarios in World Cup 2018. So Argentina might still step up their game. But while sports betting sites offer big odds for France, the opposite bet seems more lucrative.

And if we’re going that far, it seems highly profitable to choose more specific options. If Argentina wins, we’re pretty sure that they will still concede a goal or two.

You can find 6/1 odds for this scenario online.

Betting Tips for France vs Argentina

As already mentioned, the most lucrative bets are those backing Argentina. It’s because they didn’t perform that great until this match.

So, for this same reason, France is definitely feeling more confident today. They haven’t lost a single match yet, but Argentinians wouldn’t look any worse if not for their loss to Croatia.

So, while our experts still think that France has better odds, the difference isn’t that great. That’s why we suggest counter-intuitive betting, you see.

Just remember the earlier predictions. You’ll see that both of the teams were among the favourites. People believed that both will go to the quarter-finals. Only now do we realise that this is not a possible scenario anymore.

Head to Head Statistics

Let’s take a look at some statistics of these football teams. It’s the first step to becoming a football betting expert on your own!

France

Out of five last matches, France won three and ended the others in a tie. They defeated Italy, Australia and Peru. The teams that stood firm against them were the United States and Denmark.

They scored seven goals in these matches and conceded three. All in all, it’s a decent result statistically speaking. So we can await a good performance this Saturday too.

Argentina

Argentina has played fewer matches recently and their results are less impressive too. Over the last five matches, they won two and lost two as well. This includes a 6-1 loss to Spain.

The goal difference over these last matches is -3 with eight goals for and 11 against. What does that say about the possible outcome of this eighth final match? That Argentina has trouble with defence and France will capitalize on that.

Head-to-head History

France and Argentina have played 11 international matches against one another. France only won two of them. Argentina, on the other hand, has won six. So, the current odds are quite unusual in perspective.

Who Will Score for France?

France has never beaten Argentina in the World Cup before. But they won’t let the history repeat itself again. This year, their line-up is stronger than ever and they advanced to the knockouts unscathed.

So, the likely France starting eleven formation is 4-2-3-1 with Giroud in front. Behind him, we can expect to see:

  • Mbappe
  • Griezmann
  • Dembele
  • Kante
  • Pogba
  • Pavard
  • Varane
  • Umtiti
  • Hernandez
  • Lloris

The attackers should become the key players in this match. Especially since they know that Argentina’s defence is less formidable than its forward. So, any of the four forward players could potentially score a goal or even two.

This includes Giroud and Griezmann as the top players, though Mbappe and Dembele are just as dangerous in the wings. Didier Deschamps can be proud of this forward in the tournament.

Who Will Score for Argentina?

Argentina is also pretty strong and has several possible options that could be viable against France. They could either go with the 4-4-2 or 4-3-3 formation. The latter would consist of:

  • Aguero
  • Messi
  • Dybala
  • Di Maria
  • Banega
  • Mascherano
  • Tagliafico
  • Rojo
  • Otamendi
  • Mercado
  • Armani

Jorge Sampaoli, the team’s coach, will surely keep Messi and Aguero in the field as his main goal scorers. The defence might look different, though Rojo and Otamendi are the core in the back.

Will There Be Penalty or Red Cards?

The closer to finals, the greater the chance of penalty or a red card. That’s a rule which you should keep in mind when betting. However, too many penalties often lead to disaster.

Argentinians have six yellow cards already. Among the penalised players there are three midfielders and two defenders:

  • Messi
  • Mascherano
  • Banega
  • Acuno
  • Otamendi
  • Mercado

This will certainly keep them from breaching the rules again. This, of course, places Argentina at a disadvantage. But if there’s a red card awaiting us, it’ll probably be on Argentina’s side.

France only has three yellow cards. They’re all midfielders:

  • Tolisso
  • Pogba
  • Matuidi

So French will be able to play more recklessly. On the bright side, the cards will reset in the quarter-finals, so many yellow cards are to be expected.

As for the penalties, our experts have a prediction too. If there is one coming, it will be Argentina’s kick. Their own defenders are less likely to risk the scenario of Colombia vs Japan match.

In France vs Argentina match, the French are the favourites. However, the chances aren’t very different so we suggest you bet on Argentina instead.