TV: BBC One
The group stages of the World Cup 2018 are now over and so it's time to turn our attention to the Round of 16 fixtures.
As the name suggests, the Round of 16 is where the sixteen teams who have either finished first or second of their groups will play-off for the quarter finals.
These matches are sure to be tense and exciting and therefore, they offer some very compelling and lucrative betting odds too.
The third set of Round of 16 matches will commence on the 2nd of July, and one of these matches is not confirmed to be Brazil vs Mexico. The match will be played in the Samara Arena in Samara, with an afternoon kickoff at 15:00 GMT.
Brazil have reached this stage in the competition by finishing comfortably first in Group E, whilst Mexico narrowly missed the top position in Group F on goal difference.
Whilst some may argue this gives both teams essentially level pegging, Brazil are still the clear favourites to win this round of 16 match.
In today's article we'll take a closer look at the match and supply you with:
- All the odds you need to know
- All the statistics about both teams
- Expert betting tips and predictions
Betting Tips for Brazil vs Mexico
As we've just mentioned, Brazil are the current favourites to win this match and in our opinion, it'd be a wasted bet to go against the bookies on this game. Here's how the current average odds on winning after 90 minutes are looking at the moment:
Brazil to Win: 1/2
Mexico to Win: 6/1
Draw (Before Extra-Time and Penalties): 16/5
Whilst, as we've just said, we think it would definitely be unwise to go against the bookies on this match, this does mean that there's actually no value in placing a bet on Brazil to win.
Instead, we'd propose that you make a more specific bet, such as which players may score, what the finishing score may be, or how many goals will be scored overall.
If these betting options all sound a little too complicated for you, fear not, as we've got plenty of expert betting tips and predictions on these markets for you.
Head to Head Statistics
In addition, to look at the stats for each team's last five matches in the World Cup 2018, we can also look at the last five times these teams went head to head.
|7 Jun 2015||Brazil vs Mexico||Win to Brazil||2-0||International Friendly|
|17 Jun 2014||Brazil vs Mexico||Draw||0-0||FIFA World Cup|
|19 Jun 2013||Brazil vs Mexico||Win to Brazil||2-0||FIFA Confederations Cup|
|3 June 2012||Brazil vs Mexico||Win to Mexico||0-2||International Friendly|
|11 Oct 2011||Mexico vs Brazil||Win to Brazil||1-2||International Friendly|
Our Match Predictions for Brazil vs Mexico
As we can see from the statistics above, Brazil have done enough this World Cup to finish first of their group, winning two matches and drawing one. What's more, in these three matches they've racked up five goals and conceeded only one.
That being said, it hasn't been as easy as some footballing fans may have expected it to be. Brazil are generally considered one of the best footballing teams in the world, yet they could only match Switzerland on goals and it took until stoppage time for them to beat Costa Rica.
On the other hand, Mexico have been performing rather impressively so far. Their triumphs over both Germnay and South Korea were fantastic, if a little unexpected. This led them to progress out of their group in second place, just behind Sweden who they lost out to this week.
The defeat against Sweden will have definitely shook the Mexican team and we can now expect them to enter their match against Brazil more cagey than ever before. Coach Juan Carlos Osorio has already expressed his wish to tighten up the team's defense, stating that switching from four to three players at the back was a mistake.
Specialised Betting Tips
Although Mexico are on good form, it's very unlikely they will be able to compete with the skill and ability level of Brazil.
Brazil are currently ranked as the second best team in the world, whilst Mexico place fifteenth in the FIFA World Rankings. This means that backing Brazil is a no-brainer, but which odds have value to them?
Brazil to win to nil will be a popular bet this match and, looking at their last matches, it's easy to see why. The current odds on this stand at around 13/10 and, in our expert opinion, are definitely worth going for.
We also like the look of Brazil's odds on scoring two goals, and making the final score 2-0. These stand at around 6/1, and so are definitely worth considering.
Here are some of our other favourite wagers to back on this match:
- Brazil to Win to Nil: 13/10
- Brazil to Win by One Goal: 23/10
- Brazil to Win by Two Goals: 10/3
- Brazil to Win 2-0: 6/1
Who Will Score For Brazil?
Neymar has already played in every one of Brazil's three matches this World Cup and so it's very likely he will start for the team when they meet Mexico too.
Within those three matches, Neymar has actually only managed to score one goal, against Costa Rica, but in the 2014 World Cup he did bag four goals too.Odds on Neymar To Score Anytime: 10/11
Expected Brazil Line-Up:
Brazil have played the same starting 11 for the last two matches, and so it's likely that manager Tite will follow this set up again for their round of 16 game against Mexico.
Defenders: Marcelo, Miranda, T. Silva, Fagner
Midfielders: Coutinho, Casemiro, Paulinho
Forwards: Neymar, Willian, G. Jesus
Who Will Score For Mexico?
- Javier Hernandez
If Mexico do manage to score in this match, it's likely that it'll be down to Javier Hernandez. Not only did he make his fiftieth goal for his international team this World Cup, but he's also predicted to be Mexico's top goalscorer of the competition too..Odds on Hernandez To Score Anytime: 4/1
Expected Mexico Line-Up:
Mexico manager Juan Carlos Osorio has played the same squad for his last two matches, and so we think it's very likely the lineup will be the same again.
Defenders: Alvarez, Salcedo, Moreno, Gallardo
Midfielders: Herrera, Guardado, Layun, Vela, Lozano,
Forwards: J. Hernandez
Will There Be A Penalty or Red Cards?
It's already very likely that there will be a penalty in this match, as there are so many being handed out this tournament!
A record breaking 22 penalties have been awarded so far in the World Cup 2018, thanks in most parts to new VAR technology.
Whilst we think a straight red card is unlikely to be given in this match, we do think that at least one or two players will receive yellow cards.
It's sure to be a very tense match and there's sure to be a lot of action within the penalty box. This could get scrappy quickly and, with VAR, there's no hiding for the players.